← Positions

Allocator #

Which bets to make. Every operating decision is an investment decision with a cost, a probability of success, and a payoff. The allocator prices the opportunity before committing the dollar.

Capital allocation, M&A due diligence, portfolio construction, ROI underwriting. The same math your CFO uses for factories applies to knowledge work - with one twist: these assets can appreciate.

Planned from this position (8 posts) #

AI Quality Tiers: When 85% Accuracy Is Fine

Coming soon

I deploy AI at scale and price error costs against business impact

Allocator+Operator

The Dollarized Confusion Matrix

Coming soon

I derived the threshold formula and use it to underwrite AI investments

Allocator+Scientist

What They Don't Tell You About Being a PE CTO

Coming soon

I run a multi-brand portfolio and sequence investments against exit timelines

Allocator+Operator

The Cost Optimization Playbook

Coming soon

I execute cost programs and prioritize cuts by ROI

Allocator+Operator

Why Your AI Pilot Failed (And How to Pick Better Targets)

Coming soon

I built the scoring model and use it to decide which AI bets to make

Allocator+Scientist

Any Sufficiently Advanced Technology: A Taxonomy of Magic

Coming soon

I backtested the protocol across 700 years and use it to predict winners

Allocator+Scientist

Perfectionism Is a Bad Bet

Coming soon

I derived the yield function and use it to size bets on shipping velocity

Allocator+Scientist

The Eighth Ledger: When Intellectual Labor Becomes a Capital Asset

Coming soon

I backtested the protocol and use it to predict where value migrates

Allocator+Scientist

Where Allocator intersects #

Allocator+Operator=Portfolio Alpha

Pricing the bet AND running the playbook. Cost programs, exit sequencing, EBITDA optimization.

Allocator+Builder=Construction Spread

Pricing the opportunity AND building it yourself. The spread between what it costs you vs. what it costs the market.

See also #

[Intersection

Portfolio Alpha →

allocator + operator](/positions/)[Intersection

Construction Spread →

allocator + builder](/positions/)[Framework

Your Chart of Accounts Is a Directed Graph →](/frameworks/directed-graph/)[Framework

The Performance Frontier →](/frameworks/performance-frontier/)[Framework

The Demand Field →](/frameworks/demand-field/)[Framework

Capital Allocation →](/frameworks/capital-allocation/)

Other positions: Operator · Builder · Scientist